Kamis, 06 Januari 2011

WHAT HAPPENED TO TRADERS I KNOW?

When I started to venture into the world of forex, there are a few local traders that I knew. They are either seasoned or newbie like me back then but now it seems that most of them are gone. They are no longer in the land of forex and they are doing something else.

It seems the saying is true. Most people will not survive the 1st 6 months in forex. Those who survive the 1st 6 months will have a tough 2 years. Some people lasted longer but they no longer trade. They have become and IB living on commission. One person whom I know doing that is henrycarol. Before he was an IB for Northfinance, now he is an IB for a different broker. Personally I do not think he trade anymore. This is because the commission is too small compared to profit in forex. If you cannot profit, then your option is taking commission on volume traded by others.

I am heading to my 3rd year in forex. I survived this long by controlling my loss. You cannot win all the time in forex but make sure when you lose, you loss is small. When you win, make sure its big. There will come a time when you have series of losses but those losses can easily be recovered with one big win.

At the moment I am managing an account. Its a loss account where the owner already given up hope. It has a very small margin. Apart from that there are 3 more offers. All of it with the amount of over RM20,000.00. All these offers came from people who have actually watch me trade. I now know that account statement means very little. People wants to see how you trade and they want to see you are winning in front of them.

At the moment my trade system have reached it 3rd revision. I have 2 students at the moment but unfortunately for newbie, the amount of information they have to digest is too much. They easily get lost in it. The hardest part is not the amount of information but following orders. Any system in the world will have specific instruction. It seems that humans are very bad at following instructions. It is in our nature. No matter how simple my system is, there will always be times when people do not follow the rules and human like to blame others on their mistakes.

Enough of that. My last signal actually survive the spike of the rate cut. If anyone following that, you will be in profit or break even. The rest of the pair didnt survive the spike.

At the moment I am holding 2 post that is:
1. Short EURUSD @ 1.2830
2. Short AUDUSD @ 0.6670

One of my students followed me during the trade late friday. Hopefully we will see a trend continuation and the above trade will generate hundreds of pip if not thousand next week. Good luck to all of you. Keep on learning and someday you will be there.

AUTOMATIC TRADING

This is one thing that I hate most. A lot of people asking for my trading system. I know what they are going to do with it. They will take the hard work of many years, code it into an expert advisor and let it run on automatic trade.

For those of you who already has a succesfull system, you may share similliar view. Unfortunately for those who are still looking for a profitable way to trade, this is one of their easiest option. I dont blame them, creating a profitable system is not an easy task. It takes years to develop and test a system with no guarantee of success.

For those of you still looking for a way to be profitable in forex, there are system available on the internet. One of them is Zulutrade. Zulutrade is a place where signal providers (like me) test out their trade system with thousands of traders. It like a competition for traders. Good news is people can open an account and pick which signal providers they want to auto trade their account. Best thing is, its free. Yes, its free. You dont have to pay 30% of your profit to your account manager.

I personally never have used their system but am trying to register as a signal provider. Those of you can try it out if you want. All you have to do is open an account with them. Fund the account and pick which signal providers you want. Dont take my word for it. You have to go to Zulutrade and investigate yourself. Remember its your money.

Rabu, 29 Desember 2010

WHAT FOREX IS NOT



Forex is not a quick rich scheme.
Forex is not easy even though my blog says so.
Forex is not a place for newbie
Forex is not something you can learn overnight
If you needed the money, dont put it in Forex. Seriously. Go somewhere else.
Forex is a journey, enjoy it.
There is no such thing as holy grail coz there is no perfection in this world. If perfection exist in this world it would be boring. No more room for improvement.
Forex is not rocket science. There is no right or wrong. There is only probability.

NEW PLACE, NEW SCHEDULE AND A NEW SYSTEM FOREXS

On April 2009, I moved to Kuala Lumpur. A new place requires me to have new schedule. I dont have much time as I would like in front of a PC which means, shorter time for me to trade. It requires me to adapt to the time I have to trade and make a new system.

In my quest to adapt my existing system to a new time constraint trading requirement, I accidently stumble onto a new system. Its a very simple system that has shown good result for the month of April and May at the moment.

Just to show you what I have stumble upon, here is a screen shot of my demo account that I have used to run the test. It doesn't show high accuracy but it shows a return of over 100% last month and a small return this month so far.

Here is the hard part. What if I say that I can actually have an accuracy of 100%. Meaning I can win all the time with this system. The numbers you see there is me using a demo account trading with limited time with no regards for the system rules.

Would it be nice to actually win all the time. I will keep you guys posted on the result by the end of this month. In the meantime I cannot be online as long as I like to. For my friends, I know my YM is not online for a long time but just leave a message and I will answer when I have the time.

NEW STRATEGY FOREXS

On my last post, I was telling you about a new system. I decided to do forward testing. As usual all testing was done on a demo account. No live account was hurt during the testing period.

The result as you see is superb. There are actually 2 part of testing. The early trades are done on a shorter time frame, 5 minute to be exact. The later part of testing is done on a longer time frame, 1 hour.

I must say the system looks promising on the longer time frame. On the shorter time, I just dont have the time to monitor the trades.

As of now the system is running on my live account. At the moment on 4th June my account is up 40%. Hopefully everything goes well and I will have good profit by end of the month. Will keep you inform on the result later.

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